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Post-Memorial Day Market Analysis: Navigating the Opening Bell and Beyond

Introduction

On the morning of Memorial Day, May 27, 2024, while the NYSE remained closed, global markets continued their operations, providing a unique trading environment for investors. This analysis delves into the market movements and trading opportunities that unfolded during this post-holiday session, focusing particularly on the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and integrating the RevStrat methodology developed by Rob Black.

Global Market Activity

Despite the closure of the NYSE, other global markets were active, setting the stage for potential trading opportunities. Here’s a breakdown of the key market movements and levels from the Asian and London sessions:

Asian Market:

  • Low: 18,833.50
  • High: 18,856.75

London Market:

  • Low: 18,859.50
  • High: 18,889.00

These early session highs and lows provide initial reference points for traders, indicating the potential range within which the market could move during the post-holiday trading session.

Early Morning Trading Insights

9:25 AM ET (6:30 AM PT) – 122 Bullish RevStrat Reversal

Before the official opening of the US markets, a bullish reversal pattern, known as the 122 Bullish RevStrat, was identified. This pattern often signals a potential reversal to the upside, setting an optimistic tone for the morning’s trading activities.

9:30 AM ET (6:30 AM PT) – Nasdaq 100 Opening

As the US market opened, the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) was trading at 18,879. This marked the beginning of the session with key technical indicators as follows:

  • 14 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): 18,879.38
  • 200 SMA (Simple Moving Average): 18,866.10

The opening 5-minute candle quickly moved above the 14 EMA, indicating early bullish momentum.

Screenshot

Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies

Fibonacci Retracement and Trading Strategy

A Fibonacci retracement was drawn from the opening 5-minute candle, ranging from 18,878 to 18,903. This setup provided clear levels for potential entries, stop losses, and targets:

  • Entry to the downside: 18,903 with a target of 18,878 and a stop loss at 18,911.
  • Entry to the upside: 18,878, based on Fibonacci levels and confirmation, with a stop loss set at Monday’s market open of 18,874.75 and a target of 18,933.50.

Utilizing Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps

At 7:15 AM PT, a 15-minute candle formed an order block between 18,876.25 and 18,885.75. This order block can serve as a confirmation for entering a position to the upside.

Additionally, the 7:30 AM PT candle formed a fair value gap between 18,885.75 and 18,894.25, suggesting another potential entry point to add onto a position to the upside.

Trading Strategy Insights

In the trading strategy employed, entries are made on the 5-minute chart, while broader time blocks of 15 minutes are used for confirmation:

  • 6:30 – 6:45 AM PT: Initial analysis and entry.
  • 6:45 – 7:00 AM PT: Confirmation and adjustments.
  • 7:15 – 7:30 AM PT: Order block and fair value gap analysis.
  • 7:30 – 7:45 AM PT: Additional confirmation for entry or adjustments.
  • 7:45 – 8:00 AM PT: Final decision-making based on morning consolidation.

Detail 1 – 6:25 – 122 Bullish RevStrat Reversal

The 122 Bullish RevStrat Reversal pattern identified at 6:25 AM ET set a positive tone for the trading session, signaling a potential upward reversal in the market sentiment.

Detail 2 – 18,903 Entry to the Downside

At the Fibonacci retracement level of 18,903, an entry to the downside was considered, with a target of 18,878 and a stop loss set at 18,911. This setup provided a clear risk-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on potential bearish movements in the market.

Conclusion: A Day of Opportunities

Today’s market setup provided several well-defined trading opportunities, reflecting the robustness of the RevStrat methodology in identifying potential reversal patterns and utilizing technical indicators like Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, order blocks, and fair value gaps.

As the post-Memorial Day session progressed, the Nasdaq 100 exhibited strong bullish sentiment, supported by both technical indicators and the bullish patterns identified earlier in the morning.

Traders who followed the strategic approach outlined would have found ample opportunities to enter positions and manage risk effectively throughout the morning. The clear and well-structured trading plan based on RevStrat and smart money concepts allowed for decisive action, ensuring that traders were well-prepared to navigate the volatile market conditions.

In conclusion, despite the US market holiday, the global financial markets continued to provide robust trading opportunities, with the Nasdaq 100 demonstrating resilience and bullish momentum.

Looking Ahead

As the trading day continues, it will be crucial to monitor any developments in global markets, economic indicators, and geopolitical events that could impact the Nasdaq 100 and broader market sentiment. Traders should remain vigilant and adaptive, leveraging technical analysis and strategic insights to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

End of Blog Post

This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed exploration of the post-Memorial Day trading session, illustrating how traders can effectively navigate market dynamics using advanced technical analysis and strategic methodologies. If you have any further questions or would like to delve deeper into specific aspects of today’s market movements, feel free to reach out!


Disclaimer:

The information provided in this blog post is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves risk. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The author does not accept any liability for any loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from reliance on the information contained in this blog post.

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